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Manzambi first goal for Villa
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Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa: How Villa won a match the expected goals say they lost

Villa won 3-2 at Tottenham with 36.1% possession and 1.16 xG to their hosts' 1.56. The numbers behind a win built on finishing.

20.09.26, 08:22 Updated 20.09.26, 08:22 10 Minute Read

Andrea Locorotondo

Andrea Locorotondo

The story in brief

  • Aston Villa won 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur with 36.1% possession, their first Premier League victory of the season.
  • Tottenham created the better chances, generating 1.56 expected goals to Villa's 1.16, yet lost the match.
  • Villa scored three times from 1.16 xG, converting half of their shots on target, while Johan Manzambi scored and assisted on his full debut.

Villa did not create the better chances at Tottenham. They simply finished them far better.

The lowest-possession win of Emery's rebuild

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Andrea Locorotondo

Andrea Locorotondo SJA and AIPS member. Aston Villa In-Ground correspondent for Opta. Football writer and commentator. If you are coming to Villa Park, you will always find me on seat E12 in the press box.

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